Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 330.360574 374.823600 424.430467 484.130368 554.357860 634.747007 734.306332
2025-07-13 272.157256 332.260314 405.656838 502.949808 630.140259 793.030741 1021.148131
2025-07-20 242.485439 310.879501 399.672161 525.582838 703.165436 950.383832 1331.081563
2025-07-27 215.290527 286.469343 383.324526 528.127888 745.184964 1068.846343 1609.102697
2025-08-03 189.617436 259.787867 358.894231 513.514574 757.170295 1142.029494 1830.568661
2025-08-10 170.250531 239.224687 339.854745 502.877567 771.566167 1218.903723 2072.865887
2025-08-17 160.724076 231.649140 338.579595 518.629190 829.572511 1376.957648 2498.088008
2025-08-24 148.899832 219.172074 328.059031 517.478028 857.952980 1487.169781 2859.306413
2025-08-31 137.318712 205.840057 314.573029 509.223399 871.784018 1571.896335 3189.558944
2025-09-07 129.303754 197.363869 307.963681 511.760946 905.402448 1700.889628 3654.753649
2025-09-14 119.857712 185.687237 294.784143 500.713538 910.839898 1772.472156 4004.530934
2025-09-21 112.989128 177.699056 287.101182 498.764898 933.878811 1885.998315 4496.752560
2025-09-28 103.367484 164.463263 269.362199 476.255993 912.301522 1897.913316 4727.945240
2025-10-05 100.705515 163.025623 272.531797 494.885313 981.698674 2138.706432 5711.575769
2025-10-12 98.683499 162.498897 277.230719 517.066795 1062.786266 2428.557939 6982.650060
2025-10-19 94.279891 157.325077 272.724320 519.562180 1098.782963 2610.461895 7983.099401
2025-10-26 88.251929 148.741530 260.968176 505.235684 1092.082325 2674.158629 8587.114169
2025-11-02 83.195505 141.616708 251.476084 494.806375 1093.492709 2761.907335 9332.495065
2025-11-09 81.362975 140.405055 253.522619 510.250104 1163.433820 3071.866381 11182.993122
2025-11-16 77.933273 135.901253 248.563137 509.121512 1189.638573 3253.787623 12585.589313
2025-11-23 74.079086 130.326418 240.977982 501.028411 1195.657982 3372.232417 13765.191273
2025-11-30 71.503559 127.086063 237.977646 503.516362 1231.792554 3603.717911 15705.892163
2025-12-07 67.907174 121.604291 229.851624 492.684487 1227.919778 3693.505978 16933.255798